The American strikes are likely to be accepted – and even privately praised – by a Middle East officialdom that has long seen Iran as the primary threat to regional stability.

If Iran had hoped its neighbors would rise to its defense in the wake of unprecedented American and Israeli attacks, that moment may have passed.

On Monday, Iran fired back at the U.S. with a strike on the American Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar, in what is already being seen as merely a face-saving gesture. Qatar said it had intercepted the Iranian missiles and condemned the attack, calling it a violation of its sovereignty.

But even as Middle Eastern leaders were quick to criticize Donald Trump’s paradigm-shifting assault on Iran following 10 days of Israeli bombardment, the American strikes are likely to be accepted — and even privately cheered — by an Arab officialdom that has long seen Shia Iran as the primary threat to regional stability.

  • Carmakazi@lemmy.world
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    7 hours ago

    “As crazy people exchange gunfire on the street, neighbors lock their doors and hunker down in their houses.”

    • Saleh@feddit.org
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      7 hours ago

      Problem is one of the “crazies” not only going after neighbor after neighbor after neighbor, with you likely being one of the next ones, but also holding a family hostage in their home, killing their newborns and torturing them for fun.

      Without a serious reconcilliation and move towards Arab unity, Israel will eventually knock on everyones doorstep.

        • Saleh@feddit.org
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          40 minutes ago

          Yes i know. But after Iran Israel will move to the next country, most likely an Arab country again, to attack.

      • Carmakazi@lemmy.world
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        7 hours ago

        Unfortunately even a united Middle East has little chance against Israel and its American attack dog. Capitulation and appeasement is likely the more attractive option to them.

        • FerretyFever0@fedia.io
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          6 hours ago

          Ehhh, I wouldn’t be so sure. They’ve got the oil money and cruelty to manage. At least some of them.

        • Saleh@feddit.org
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          7 hours ago

          The US couldn’t win in Iraq. They couldn’t win in Afghanistan.

          There is no way they would “win” when the flow of Oil and Gas gets cut off for them, the Gulfs are closed for them and the closest place to stage their airforce would be in Cyprus. The US could use its navy to deny oil and gas to everyone else too, but that would bring the rest of the world against them too. To properly reestablish control, they would need boots on the ground. This would require millions, maybe tens of millions of soldiers. Just between Iran, Iraq, Syria, Saudi, Yemen and Egypt and the Gulf states that is about 350 million people. Add Turkiye, Sudan, Libya, Algeria and Morocco and you get some more 250 million more on top.

          In such a scenario the US would most likely sacrifice Israel.

          • Cypher@lemmy.world
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            6 hours ago

            The US is an oil exporter, as it produces more than it uses.

            No one can cut off the US oil supply. Not to mention they could simply seize oil haulers for themselves with their navy.

            Your scenario is entirely unfounded.

            • marcos@lemmy.world
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              4 hours ago

              No one can cut off the US oil supply.

              Well, if the US invests on being able to use its own oil without mixing with anything else, the can become true.

              Not to mention they could simply seize oil haulers for themselves with their navy.

              A few times, yeah. The world won’t react well to the US specializing into constant piracy.

            • Saleh@feddit.org
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              6 hours ago

              And what happens if the Oil and Gas are cut off to the US and its allies? Even if the US is producing enough by now to cover itself domestically, it would need to jump in for all its allies, unless it wants to loose them. And well, they cannot product this much.

              • Cypher@lemmy.world
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                3 hours ago

                War happens, and countries will get flattened within weeks by a coalition.

                Most countries maintain strategic oil reserves in the event of war.

                It’s like you believe you’re the first person ever to consider what happens if oil supply is interrupted.