spujb@lemmy.cafe to Political Memes@lemmy.worldEnglish · 2 days agocall your representatives nowlemmy.cafeimagemessage-square153linkfedilinkarrow-up11arrow-down10
arrow-up11arrow-down1imagecall your representatives nowlemmy.cafespujb@lemmy.cafe to Political Memes@lemmy.worldEnglish · 2 days agomessage-square153linkfedilink
minus-squareDeathByBigSad@sh.itjust.workslinkfedilinkarrow-up0·edit-21 day agosliwa is polling at 7% in the latest poll Even if we assume he get doubled that like 15% The remainder split 3 way evenly is about 28% sliwa would have to win like 26% then have the 3 split evenly 24.6 + 24.6 + 24.6 Extremely rare for that to even be possible. My bets are 60% chance Mamdani wins, 35% cuomo win, 4% adams win, 1% sliwa win.
sliwa is polling at 7% in the latest poll
Even if we assume he get doubled that like 15%
The remainder split 3 way evenly is about 28%
sliwa would have to win like 26% then have the 3 split evenly 24.6 + 24.6 + 24.6
Extremely rare for that to even be possible.
My bets are 60% chance Mamdani wins, 35% cuomo win, 4% adams win, 1% sliwa win.