

Multipolar world exactly means abandoning Taiwan. It means everyone for themselves.
Multipolar world exactly means abandoning Taiwan. It means everyone for themselves.
assist[ing]” another in committing an internationally wrongful act—armed force included—is complicit
There are rightful causes to lead a war. For example to defend against an agressor. Then delivering arms is allowed under aid for self defense.
Well in the case of the places Trump wants to invade Canada and Greenland a war would very likely be a short special military operation. The US can easily blockade both land, sea, and air, so they don’t get any external supplies. After a short air campaign and ground invasion, the Canadian armed forces would have to retreat north outside the main population zones. They would run out of supplies pretty quickly. An ensuing guerilla war is possible, but unlikely to repel American forces any time soon.
The diplomatic fallout would be pretty bad though.
If you had ever read the Lancet you would know that not everything in there is peer reviewed.
The piece you probably mean was published under correspondence, meaning letters from readers, which is explicitly not peer reviewed as per the Lancet itself.
Correspondence - Our readers’ reflections on content published in the Lancet journals or on other topics of general interest to our readers. These letters may be published as exchanges with authors’ replies.
It’s not a peer reviewed article.
Article - Peer reviewed reports of original research that are likely to change clinical practice, policy or substantially change thinking about a disease. These include interventional clinical trials, observational studies, modelling studies, and meta-analyses.
Delivering weapons is explicitly not taking part in hostilities according to international law.
Trump like the military because he does like everything powerful and strong. I think he truly is opposed to long and costly wars. So far his actions track that pretty well.
Trump is looking for deals to enrich himself or become more famous and powerful.
I didn’t bring up the Holocaust, especially not as a baseline. The situation is Gaza is horrible and needs to change. War crimes are likely happening and possibly crimes against humanity.
The situation not remotely equal to the Holocaust though.
The number of deaths per month in Gaza has been declining for over a year. Remember that gunmen with small arms managed to kill over 1000 people on one day October 7th in Israel. The IDF is heavily armed with advanced weaponry and could easily kill tens of thousands per day, if they wanted to.
The humanitarian situation in Gaza is still bad, but has slowly been improving recently.
Domestically the Netanyahu government is under growing pressure to end the war. Also in Gaza the protests against Hamas continued fighting is growing. The plans for relocating Gaza‘s population have gotten no traction or progress. International pressure, negotiations, and diplomacy are busy as well.
All of this points to a better future, not an imminent Holocaust.
Equivalences to the Holocaust are at best nonfactual incitement, at worst antisemitic Holocaust denial.
The people of Gaza deserve a life in peace, liberty, and prosperity.
That Lancet article was not peer reviewed and only an estimate, that turned out to be incorrect.
66 children died. During famines children are most endangered and always the vast majority of deaths.
I will give you a pro Palestinian biased source.
There are alliances, but for a world war the major powers should all be directly involved. The biggest global powers are the USA, China, EU, Russia. Only one of them is directly involved in a serious war. In Ukraine the USA and Europe have been avoiding a direct involvement for a decade now.
The recent wars involving Israel only had minor involvement of western powers, mostly missile defense, and protection of shipping lanes. Israel has won decisively against Hezbollah, Iran, and Syria. The Houthis continue to be a nuisance and Hamas is restricted to small attacks. Some kind of ceasefire deal regarding Gaza becomes more likely by the day as both internal and external pressure mount on the Netanyahu government.
Hezbollah is seriously weakened. Lebanon has a new stronger government. Iran will take a decade to rebuild their strength. The Houthis can go back to killing Yemenis. If Hamas can recover is unclear, but it won’t be fast either. Syria is busy with getting their own affairs in order and even signaling possible peace with Israel.
The future for the Middle East looks almost promising I would say. Iran is weakened, cooperation and peace deals increase, several countries are tired of (civil) wars, Islamist Djihadism has lost wars and credibility.
I would bet on Russia trying to conquer Georgia, Armenia, or some other former Soviet country after a ceasefire or peace deal in Ukraine. Gotta keep that war economy going. Even then direct Western or Chinese involvement is unlikely.
Taiwan is a huge problem and a war would have huge global economic consequences. A huge air and naval war is certainly possible there involving China, Russia, and North Korea on one side against USA, NATO, Japan, South Korea, Australia, Taiwan, and other Asian countries. The ensuing worldwide economic crisis and distraction of major powers could then trigger wars elsewhere.
A possible collapse, civil war, or break up of the USA could triggers lots of local wars where the US used be the dominant power. That includes all of Latin America, the pacific, but pretty much anywhere really.
Africa could also fall into some major wars caused by resource access, climate change, proxy wars, overpopulation, etc. Once industrialization really kicks off in Africa, major wars become more likely and deadly. The Congo and central Africa has lots of unresolved issues dating back to the previous Congo wars.
Chinese foreign policy regarding Russia is unlikely to change under a new leader. Supporting Russia‘s war by continued trade while publicly calling for a diplomatic solution is a very comfortable position. They weaken the West while making Russia more dependent on them. All of that while getting financial advantages from importing cheap energy from Russia and exporting goods.
The posturing regarding Taiwan could change in tone, but fundamentally China‘s goals and interests are unchanged.
Things are going pretty well for China on many levels.
UN Security Council resolutions have demanded Hamas release the hostages taken. This has been ignored by Hamas and thus provided Israel with a reason to continue the war.
Russia is hugely dependent on trade with China to continue the war effort. They have replaced western imports with Chinese goods, including parts for weapons. North Korea would not sell arms and send troops to Russia without Chinese approval either. China buys Russian oil and gas as well.
The Russian war effort is going well and looks like it will be sustainable for years while Chinese support continues.
Taiwan for Ukraine would actually be a trade worth considering for Europe. The major problem, besides values like freedom and democracy, international law, is the interruption of supply lines from Taiwan caused by a Chinese takeover.
There have been misleading reports, including from Amnesty International.
Several reports and predictions about famine in Gaza turned out to be false. Tens of thousands were predicted a year ago. Only a few dozen died from starvation since.
The number of deaths by starvation in Gaza are small. If you want to see what famine and death looks like, check out what happened over the last year in Sudan.
The number of deaths per month has been falling in Gaza for more than a year now.
The situation is bad, but nowhere near comparable to the Holocaust.
This was on the mind of Hamas fighters on October 7th. It actually resulted in lots of death to Palestinians.
Peace and coexistence brings life, future, and prosperity to Palestinians, not eternal war.
Only organic cocaine for me, thank you.